Markets retest of Oct lows succeeded

We predicted this last month. We are seeing a W in the Candle charts. If this retest is successful today, we will aim higher. Otherwise lookout below.

Here is an excerpt from BigPicture blog.

Markets have come increasingly close to their October 10th lows. Contrary to what you may have read or heard on TV, this is precisely as it should be. Why? Major lows get retested. That is a basic tenet of market behavior, and crowd psychology. (This has been verified by a variety of studies by different technicians, economists and traders).

There are a variety of different ways to define the terms, yielding some variations, but the basic outline remains the same: All major sell offs hit a point where markets become so deeply oversold, that a rally ensues. Depending upon how deep the prior sell off is, this rally typically lasts anywhere from 3 to 6 weeks. Our work at FusionIQ shows that these snap-backs typically go for about 4 weeks and average ~24%.

http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2008/11/retest-of-the-october-lows/

The number of newly laid-off individuals seeking unemployment benefits has jumped to a level not seen since just after the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks, as companies cut more jobs in the face of a slowing economy.

http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/081113/jobless_claims.html

Filed under: Economy, Trading Strategy, Financial Press, Finance | | 1 Comment »