Recent Posts

Site Search

Archives

My Account

Scattergory

Games Mergers & Acquisitions Alternative Energy Solar Power Electric and Flying Cars Bankruptcies Film Stats Web Stats Forex U.S Politics GeoPolitics Arts & Culture Global Finance Science & Technology Web2.0 Media Statistics Financial Press Financial Bailouts Energy Broadband Financial Statistics Trading Strategy Housing Economy Statistics Finance Digital Media Financial Markets Economy

Calendar

June 2009
M T W T F S S
« May   Jul »
1234567
891011121314
15161718192021
22232425262728
2930  

Recent Comments

Links

Deal Metrics

World Statistics

BlogRoll

Ahead of the Curve
AlphaVille (FT)
Economist
Trader Alamo

Archive for June, 2009

Some Ideas for Financial prudence and Eco conservation

Thursday, June 25th, 2009

Recently, I’ve been exchanging/discussing some ideas with other “like minded” people who care about the future of our country and the planet. The majority of them find these ideas valuable, but some feel that I am speaking out of my mind.

Face it, we are trying to cope with a severe global economic slump. Our economy is still in a mess. World Bank forecasts that we will not see a positive GDP growth until late 2010. Economist predicts unemployment will continue to rise and hold steady until the end of this year. Credit card issuers continue to write off a record portion of their loans to their consumers. Most credit card users are unemployed, who will continue to borrow and delay their payments. In a recent poll it was found that over 60% prefer owning an iPod to caring about the environment. I am actually not surprised. The Gen X and Y spend most of their time communicating or interacting with their friends online rather than meeting them in person. Whatever happened to social interaction? The majority of the people in this country (especially the Gen X and Y) live from paycheck to paycheck. They completely lack the knowledge and value of money. Most don’t set aside a portion of their earnings for emergency and/or other big investments. We live a lifestyle that is beyond our means. America’s supply of engineers and scientists is shrinking. A large number of youth are not completing high school. As a society, we are decaying morally, culturally and financially. If we don’t change our lifestyle now, we are digging ourselves deeper and deeper. The future will look very much like played out in the movie Idiocracy.
Here are some ideas that might help you with your finances in this tough economic environment:

  • Stay away from credit cards. Use debit cards instead. Preferably use the ones that give you reward points. The ones that give you mileage points are useless, as many airlines are constantly changing their mileage requirement policy. You can use reward points, such as ThankYouPoints, to buy gift cards and apparel.
  • Use cash when possible.
  • Eat in. It’s healthier and goes easy on your wallet. Don’t eat in front of your TV. Use dinner as an opportunity to interact with your family and friends. Studies have indicated watching TV while eating encourages overeating.
  • If you feel the need to go out, do it on the weekends so you can spend more time outside.
  • Establish a weekly budget for groceries and dining out and stick to it.
  • If you go out, try to eat healthy (sushi or Mediterranean to diner or fast food). Eating fast food has a negative impact on society and environment. Yes, take-outs are bad for environment.
  • Staying in shape doesn’t require plumping $100 a month in a health club. Pick up an activity or sport. You can find biking or hiking trails near you. Playing a sport like tennis or swimming in a local pool helps you burn more calories than running on the treadmills in a fancy health club.
  • Get rid of the idiot box (I mean cable TV). Premium cable service costs about $100 a month. Watching the garbage (aka reality shows) on cable not only degrades your active brain cells, but also costs you a ton of money. Instead, rent movies and shows from Netflix (basic DVD service starts at $8.99). Find other outdoor entertainment. Go to museums or opera houses. You get better value and mental stimulation for your money.
  • Get a basic Internet broadband service. Most popular TV shows are available online for free.
  • Do you really need an iPhone? If you’re barely making money or unemployed for that matter, get rid of the expensive iPhone service. If you really want one, buy an iTouch. It has the same functionality as the iPhone (except for the phone function), and uses wireless connection which you can find in many places these days.

Some tips for conserving our environment and leading a healthier lifestyle:

  • Don’t throw away used vegetables. Use it as a compost. Composts turn organic wastes into a valuable resource. It can be used as a mulch for anything you grow in your farm/garden. This not only reduces waste, but also saves money spent on expensive fertilizers.
  • Energy Saving Tips: Change your incandescent bulbs with CFL bulbs. Turn off lights and electronics when not in use.
  • Consider powering your house with solar power. Most states give you a tax rebate and benefits for installing solar panels on your roof. Use an electronic meter to monitor electric usage and an inverter to store excess energy.
  • If you live in an apartment and can’t install solar panels, change your local energy supplier to wind or solar power.
  • Plant a tree in your backyard (if you have room). For every tree we cut, we need to grow one. Reforestation is good for our environment.
  • Don’t buy bottled water. It is a waste of plastic. Plus, bottled water is no better than filtered water. Take your coffee mugs with you to Starbucks. You will not only get a discount on your coffee purchase, but you’re also helping the environment.
  • Cut out sodas and other artificially sweetened drinks. Diet sodas have a chemical compound called Aspartame. Studies have linked Aspartame to cancer. Also, soda prevents your body from flushing out toxins. Soda contains high fructose corn syrup which is the number two reason behind America’s obesity problem.
  • The number 1 cause of American’s obesity problem is processed food. The majority of Americans don’t eat food. They eat food-like substances. Processed food sends signals to your brain telling your digestive system to slow down, which in turn inhibits your body from digesting food properly. This will make your body store more fat.
  • Do not use Dishwasher. This consumes ton of water and electricity. Hand wash dishes instead. Use cold water and not hot water if possible. The only time it makes economical sense to use dishwasher is when you have a lot of dishes to wash at once.

Eight ways to supercharge the U.S Economy

Wednesday, June 24th, 2009

Read this on “The Futurist”. Agreed with many of the points posted in this article.
Here are the main topics covered

1) Immigration Reform

2) Tax Simplification

3) Tax Exemption for Entrepreneurial Innovators

4) Make Sarbanes-Oxley Voluntary

5) Reform Divorce Laws

6) Make Tax Day One Day Before Election Day

Big Historical Bailouts

Thursday, June 18th, 2009

Via BigPicture
Jim Bianco of Bianco Research crunched the inflation adjusted numbers. The bailout has cost more than all of these big budget government expenditures – combined:

Marshall Plan: Cost: $12.7 billion, Inflation Adjusted Cost: $115.3 billion
Louisiana Purchase: Cost: $15 million, Inflation Adjusted Cost: $217 billion
Race to the Moon: Cost: $36.4 billion, Inflation Adjusted Cost: $237 billion
S&L Crisis: Cost: $153 billion, Inflation Adjusted Cost: $256 billion
Korean War: Cost: $54 billion, Inflation Adjusted Cost: $454 billion
The New Deal: Cost: $32 billion (Est), Inflation Adjusted Cost: $500 billion (Est)
Invasion of Iraq: Cost: $551b, Inflation Adjusted Cost: $597 billion
Vietnam War: Cost: $111 billion, Inflation Adjusted Cost: $698 billion
NASA: Cost: $416.7 billion, Inflation Adjusted Cost: $851.2 billion

TOTAL: $3.92 trillion

The disconnect between Market and Economy

Thursday, June 11th, 2009

June 11, 2009
New York

Some say “Green shoots”; others say “Brown shoots”. What I am referring to is the status of the current economic conditions (aka recovery). Is the economy really improving or is it all smokes and mirrors? U.S Debt continues to pile up. Housing market is still trying to find a meaningful bottom (if there is one). Retail sales continues to look awful. Number of people claiming unemployment is still at an elevated level. Durable goods order hovers near 13 year low. We learned today that Americans saw trillions of their net worth wiped out in the first months of the year.

But despite all these bad news, the stock market still managed to put up an impressive rally in the last 3 months. What is really moving the markets higher lately? There are a few reasons. The main one being the fact Fed and PPT are buying S&P futures to help stabilize the market to avoid another plunge. Banks are using TARP money to inflate stock prices to execute their stock offering (for repaying TARP debt). We are also seeing a concerted effort from media and our government spinning all bad news into a “better than expected” news. This is meant to somehow make average “Joe” feel better about the economy and start spending money? Some money managers and investors are buying this story and jumping into the foray. Market didn’t have any meaningful correction since it started making its move upward in mid March. This 35% rally is not sustainable. It reminds me of the sharp rally that we saw back in 2001 and during the Great Depression.

Why am I skeptical? Because, we still haven’t addressed the fundamental source of the problem: Over leveraging of credit. The current approach taken by Fed and Treasury is take more debt to get out of the existing debt. Dumb idea, I must say! Late last year, Helicopter Ben and Treasury started the campaign of printing more money and buying long dated Treasury notes and bonds to contain the meltdown in the Financial system. They were hoping to prevent further deterioration in the housing market by creating an artificial bottom. But as we have seen from recent Treasury auctions, rates for the 10 year notes and 30 Year treasury bonds spiked higher as there were lack of buyers. In recent auctions, it was the Fed who had to chip in and buy their own Treasury notes and bonds. This is a major concern for anyone hoping for economic recovery.

Russia and China have started expressing by either dumping or staying away from buying our debt. Russia just recently announced that it will dump US Dollar as the reserve currency. Fed is stuck between a rock and a hard place. Just how long will they continue this charade? As always, government is looking for an easy way out of this mess. History says our politicians are short term thinkers and we have seen this movie played out over and over again. These voter pandering, lobbyist controlled parties are adept at resolving impending problems (finding short term solutions) at the cost of long term consequences. To summarize, our government is just buying time, hoping this massive debt will go away or left to future generations to deal with. But eventually it will come back to bite us.

Current Credit to Debt ratio

U.S Credit to Debt breakdown

You can find our public debt here.

Traders note:

Markets seem to be in its last breath. I doubt major indices will be able to break 200 ema (currently S&P is at 960), as they were turned down a few times from that level. I also think Oil trade is over. It has gone up too much too fast like the rest of the commodity shares.

Some Interesting Charts

1. Case Shiller Index (March 2009)

Case Shiller Index March 2009

2. U.S Federal Budget Deficit

U.S Federal Deficit April 2009

3. U.S Civilian Unemployment Rate

Unemployment Rate April 2009